Waypoint

Waypoint lets developers add estimates to project items. It records when each item starts and stops. That data feeds models that give accurate forecasts of project completion.

Achieve goals

You need two things to set a good, large goal: achievability, and feedback. Waypoint gives you both.

Before you start development on a project, Waypoint can give you a forecast of the expected completion date, as well as how likely it is to complete by a given date. This lets you know how achievable any goal might be.

While the project is running, Waypoint shows you current progress versus expected progress, and a forecast of the remaining work. You can easily see if your team is falling behind, and look at options—before it jeopardizes the schedule.

Low overhead, high satisfaction

Estimates are entirely optional, but every estimate improves the forecast’s accuracy and precision. Developers can quickly add estimates in whatever units they want, on any item they want, with minimal fuss. Estimates are private—only the forecast from the model is shown to others.

Waypoint is designed to import and track work from whatever project tracker you already use. It also has an open API, so you can add your own integrations.

No soul-sucking, detailed, hand-made Gantt charts required.

Secret sauce

Waypoint has what might be the world’s most sophisticated and accurate model of software project work ever developed.

But, it’s not a black box machine-learning model, or an uninterpretable deep neural model; it’s a set of very simple statistical models, each one well established, justified, and verified on real data.

Waypoint’s models:

• Don’t rely on bootstrapping, so there’s no problem with forecasting extreme values
• Have very low parameter counts, so there’s no danger in overfitting
• Are deterministic, so you don’t have to wonder if Waypoint is having a good day or a bad one

Error distribution, R-squared, homoscedasticity, leverage, p-values and F-scores, diagnostic plots—all of the tests check out.

Current status

Waypoint is in a closed, invitation-only beta. If you would like to be considered for the waitlist, let me know at david@devquant.com.

Waypoint is still in development. Some features are planned but not yet implemented.